2024 RBC Canadian Open predictions, expert picks, odds, field rankings, golf best bets (2024)

The PGA Tour travels to the Great White North for one of the best events of the season

By Patrick McDonald

5 min read

2024 RBC Canadian Open predictions, expert picks, odds, field rankings, golf best bets (2)

How do you follow up an all-time great tournament? Well, the 2024 RBC Canadian Open is about to find out. Hamilton Golf & Country Club will host this year's Canadian Open, and it has the unenviable task of playing sequel to what may have been the best finish of the 2023 season.

Last year, Nick Taylor became the first Canadian since 1964 to win his home country's open, and he did so in the most dramatic fashion. Holing a 72-foot eagle putt on the third playoff hole against Tommy Fleetwood, Taylor tossed his putter in the air and immediately jumped into rarified air when it comes to Canadian sports lore.

He'll attempt to go back-to-back while being joined in the field by a number of his fellow countrymen, including Corey Conners, Taylor Pendrith, Mackenzie Hughes and Adam Hadwin. You may remember Hadwin as the man tackled by security during Taylor's celebration, but it was Rory McIlroy who tackled the field the last time the Canadian Open was held at Hamilton Golf & Country Club.

Firing a final-round 61 where he flirted with the possibility of a sub-60 performance, McIlroy ran away from the field for a seven-stroke victory over Webb Simpson and Shane Lowry in 2019. The four-time major champion aims to get back into the winner's circle for the third time in his Canadian Open career and grab his third trophy of the year just as the summer months roll around.

While McIlroy stalks the path towards 30 PGA Tour wins, players like Fleetwood, Cameron Young and Maverick McNealy are still in search of their first. Fleetwood experienced an especially painful defeat at the hands of Taylor last year and hopes to play himself back into contention as does Young who has already notched a runner-up result in 2024.

Sahith Theegala, Sam Burns and Lowry all have eyes on getting back into the winner's circle with others such as Adam Scott, Tom Kim and Keith Mitchell all potentially factoring over the weekend in Canada.

2024 Canadian Open schedule

Dates:May 30 - June 2
Location:Hamilton Golf & Country Club — Ontario, Canada
Par:70 |Yardage:7,084

2024 Canadian Open field, odds

  • Rory McIlroy (4-1): Post-Masters McIlroy is finding his groove. A winner in two of his last three starts, the Northern Irishman returns to a comfortable spot on the calendar and will put his affinity for national opens to the test. Driving the golf ball perhaps as well as ever, McIlroy can thank an uptick in his iron play for his uptick in hardware. While he did not break his decade-long major championship drought at Valhalla, he performed adequately and should be in the mix late on Sunday.
  • Tommy Fleetwood (16-1): It is not a matter of "if" but "when" Fleetwood will breakthrough for his long-awaited win on the PGA Tour. Last year's tournament had all the makings of it as the Englishman stood on the tee on the accessible par-5 18th needing birdie to secure victory in regulation. Unable to succeed, Fleetwood fell short once again and will try to make amends this week following a string of mixed results highlighted by a podium finish at the Masters and top-15 finish at the Wells Fargo Championship.
  • Corey Conners (20-1): The top Canadian on the board is doing everything we expect from Conners. One of the most accurate drivers on the PGA Tour and a lethal approach player, the 32-year-old is in need of a massive week with his short game if he is to contend. After missing five cuts across his first six Canadian Opens, Conner has found his footing in his home country's open with a sixth-place finish in 2022 and top 20 last year.
  • Sahith Theegala (20-1)
  • Shane Lowry (22-1): It has been a memorable month for Lowry as he snatched his first PGA Tour victory since his Open triumph and added to major championship record books with his third-round 63 at the PGA Championship. Contending at Valhalla, the Irishman leaned on an unusually hot putter and could be a sign of things to come this summer. He ranks third in this field in strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained approach over the last six months.
  • Sam Burns (22-1)
  • Cameron Young (22-1)
  • Alex Noren (22-1): The former top-10 player in the world is quietly playing some of the best golf on the PGA Tour. It has been nearly three months since Noren has finished outside the top 25 on a leaderboard highlighted by a podium result at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson and T12 finish at the PGA Championship in his last start out. He is doing just about everything right as he ranks third in total strokes gained over the last six months.
  • Maverick McNealy (30-1)
  • Adam Scott (30-1)

2024 Canadian Open expert picks


Sahith Theegala

Winner (20-1): He's been knocking on the door all year, and this week may finally be his time. Theegala ranks second in this field in total strokes gained on the year -- behind only McIlroy -- and should arrive in Canada with all the confidence in the world after contending at the PGA Championship. Just about halfway through the season, Theegala has posted career highs in strokes gained off the tee, strokes gained approach and strokes gained putting. A historically fantastic chipper and pitcher of the golf ball, Theegala should find contention and potentially the winner's circle for the second time in his career if that skillset comes to his aid.

Tom Kim

Contender (35-1): It's been an uneventful 2024 for Kim. The three-time PGA Tour winner hasn't sniffed contention with his best finishes coming in the form of a T17 at the Phoenix Open and T18 at the RBC Heritage. Despite lacking a presence on the leaderboard late into Sunday, Kim appears close to piecing it all together. He comes off a top 25 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and should thrive at a golf course like Hamilton that produced a leaderboard similar those seen at Sedgefield where Kim won a couple years ago.

Mark Hubbard

Sleeper (90-1):Some would be surprised to learn it is Hubbard who possesses the longest made cut streak this year on the PGA Tour with 15. Hubbard can thank an improvement off the tee for his string of consistency and the rest of his game for some subtle upside that has included top-five finishes at Pebble Beach and the Zurich Classic. A factor over the weekend at the PGA Championship as well, Hubbard has the game and recent experience to make a move this week at the Canadian Open just as he did last year when he finished T6.

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2024 RBC Canadian Open predictions, expert picks, odds, field rankings, golf best bets (2024)
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